A vintage perspective

Oct 13, 2011,06:38 AM
 

I hesitate to add another thought here, so much has been covered and many very lucid points made.

My area of interest is in vintage watches and so my comments can only be about those, but maybe I can add some
extra concepts to the mix. First, I haven't come across the term "intrinsic value" before, but I can share with you the
perspective I have as a vintage collector and how it might relate to this term.

The first thing to say is that I have learnt that it is not all subjective, by that I mean that the value of a vintage watch
is NOT ONLY in the eye of the beholder. That of course does play a part, as does many of the other variables (rarity, beauty, provenance) already mentioned, but equally so does the quality of the watch.

When I look at old auction catalogues, of course I marvel at the prices for some things, but of even more interest to me
is the relationship between values of different watches and I ask myself, why has that relationship changed over the past ten or twenty years?

As an example, there are two collectible military watches that come from the 40's and 50's and are known as the MK 11. One is made by IWC and one is made by JLC. Ten years ago I would say that the JLC cost half as much as the IWC. However, today I would say
they cost the same, with some people now valuing the JLC above the IWC. Why?

Rarity and taste obviosuly come into play and maybe some element of the current brands stature, but equally so collectors have looked at the JLC and said, this is of equal quality to the IWC, yet costs much less than the IWC. It doesn't make sense and so more people began to buy them and ultimately the market established the correct price for the same quality item.

Another factor that has affected them, and this is only my conjecture, is that of knowledge.

Over the last ten years several articles have been written about these watches and their history has been unearthed. As more information about them has come to light we understand just how rare the JLC is, some three thousand produced, compared to over eight thousand IWC's, this has also coloured their value.

Equally more is understood about the movement and how good it was and how it came out of JLC's movements of the period. Most of this information wasn't known over ten years ago, but as we understand the value of this watch - it's true quality - in comparison to the IWC, then the value of each has become more equal.

Some more simple examples of quality affecting price might be, waterproof Vs non-waterproof.

Chronographs from the Forties and Fifties came in two types, ones with snap backs and flat pushers and ones with screw backs and round pushers (waterproof). Waterproof watches are made to a higher quality generally and so command a better price. Ones that are made from Staybrite steel also command a better price, because this is a higher quality steel that was only used in better quality watches.

Every brand has their own internal hierarchy and you need to know about that brand - or sometimes even more specifically about the particular line of watch - to understand why people value one version above another.

Of course we have only scratched the surface of quality Vs value debate and their are many more factors at play, but I wanted to add a little of my personal journey through vintage watches to the discussion and to say it's not purely subjective. What makes this such an exciting area of collecting is that it's an undiscovered country and more and more will come to light in the coming decades.

Two great examples to look at are the recent post by Dr Strong on his Comex and Bill Sohne on the White dialled railmaster. Bill does a great job of breaking down build elements and discussing why he believes this is a watch whose quality in each area makes it stand out.





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What is "Intrinsic Value" of a Watch?

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 9th, 2011-23:56
I will admit it! I don't know what the heck the definition of "intrinsic value" of a watch is and what constitutes "intrinsic value" of a watch. I have read and heard it mentioned by many several times and there seems to be no consistent defintion which b... 

" Intrinsic Value "... That is such a subjective topic...

 
 By: amanico : October 10th, 2011-00:19
We have all a different approach of what is an intrinsic value. When it comes to watches, I would say: 1/ Is the watch " well thought "? ( Conception: What is the idea behind the watch? ) 2/ Is the watch well made? ( Finish, presentation, decoration ). 3/... 

Thansk for this Nico

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 10th, 2011-07:22
I can align with and fully are agree with your 3 anti-intrinsic value points. On your 5 points of what constitue for you intrinsic value, I can only readily agree with 2 and those having to do with movement and finishing. The rest I fear provide great fod...  

I lliek to think that the pistol Uma is twirling

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 10th, 2011-07:23
is for the posers faking it LOL... YOU WANT ME TO PAY WHAT?!!!!!

This is a superb PuristS question Arthur, and I know exactly why ...

 
 By: AndrewD : October 10th, 2011-04:14
... you are struggling to find the answer. It is because there is no strict definition of intrinsic value when it comes to watches. It is something that only you can define (and quantitate) for yourself. Sure, as collectors we have areas of agreement, but... 

Thanks Andrew

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 10th, 2011-07:28
It seems to me that you and Mao are pointing towards intrinsic value as being some kind of premium over market value that an individual will place?

instrinsic value = depends on how much u can sell it NOW

 
 By: xsw : October 10th, 2011-04:50
e.g. Intrinsic value of the ferrari, hand-bag, that IT shoe..

Exactly the opposite of how I use the term...

 
 By: ThomasM : October 10th, 2011-06:48
Hi, I've used intrinsic value in many of my discussions on the "value" of timepieces (in fact, all "collectibles") and gone so far as to define secondary (or "derivative") concepts based on intrinsic value as one of the determining variables. At any given... 

Thomas, just from your post here in isolation

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 10th, 2011-07:06
it seems like if we had to tag a monetary value to your definition of intrinsic value, it will be some premium over the market price which as you say is decided by market forces and this is decided solely on the individual buyer through some logic or lack... 

I think there's two notions...

 
 By: BDLJ : October 10th, 2011-18:59
...being discussed in parallel here. One is "how to define Intrinsic Value', the other is 'how to measure or scale it'. An irrational hobby trying to be defined by an ambiguous concept? Fraught with problems. It's all in the context.

intrinsic value = market value - price paid

 
 By: xsw : October 11th, 2011-07:59
If its not equal to market price right now, you're making a loss, period. Nothing can change this fact. So the lowest-bound price is the market price anyone can sell it at. This means almost ALL of the watches out there, and OTHER fellow "It-Items"; limit... 

"it-item" = buzzword or lingo.

 
 By: ThomasM : October 11th, 2011-09:40
Hi, I understand your point of view on this (I think) your valuation theory is either tautological (it is because I define it that way, so therefore it cannot be disputed) or commodity based, which assumes near-perfect substitutibility, of either the item... 

Intrinsic value need not equate to market value

 
 By: dreamer8 : October 10th, 2011-19:17
I will give one example. My recent fascination with vintage Omega Constellation C's. prompted my search and some research. Back in '66, these were sold for USD 1 K and $ 100 more expensive than the Rolex day date. The current market value is about the pri... 

Not to be contrary....

 
 By: Ginger : October 10th, 2011-08:47
but "intrinsic value" is usually only discussed when a collector thinks that he has paid or is being asked to pay too much for a collectible item. Perhaps another purchase cannot now be made. Perhaps the collector has sufficient funds for other purchases,... 

Thanks Ginger. Your statement

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 10th, 2011-09:11
"Perhaps the collector has sufficient funds for other purchases, but he feels taken advantage of or annoyed" resonates with me unfortunately and while I can and have chosen to just walk away, that it is so rampant in various forms is a big contributor to ... 

That's basically it in a nutshell, Arthur. The rub . . .

 
 By: Dr No : October 10th, 2011-11:25
. . . as it applies to vintage is the proliferation of variables to consider. The spread between the market and intrinsic values of a 14060 Submariner is minimal because market conditions are largely transparent. With vintage, it's a completely different ... 

It does indeed Art and your points on rarity, originality, condition etc

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 10th, 2011-19:17
for vintages make a lot of sense and help me relate much better to the concept of intrinsic value which at the end of the day is very much self defined.

"intrinsic vlaue" = value contained or represented in the item, to the individual

 
 By: ThomasM : October 10th, 2011-15:50
Considering it, whether in contemplation or for acquisition or deaccession. It does not have to comparative or relative. It can be greater than, or less than, "market value" Rolex has a certain "market value" which doesn't equal its intrinsic value to me ... 

But if its personal and subjective and there is no defined standard

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 10th, 2011-19:19
how then does the second or third market value it? Not sure I am reading your intent correctly.

they don't and that was my point.

 
 By: ThomasM : October 11th, 2011-02:06
there are some common foundations of intrinsic value - "finishing" (even though the perceived level of finishing could be subjective but also commonly understood, its "value" is entirely personal) for the most part intrinsic value is PERSONAL I think we a... 

Some variations on this theme

 
 By: Nomer : October 10th, 2011-14:29
The discussion of course needs to be framed by the definition of "intrinsic" and even perhaps "value" but let's not over complicate things. Here are two core definitions of intrinsic value based on two somewhat varied definitions of "intrinsic": 1. At it'... 

Thanks for chiming in Nomer

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 10th, 2011-19:52
Good to know that once in a while I can start a post of some interest. I agree with your point on the auction or transacted price as a good indicator of value BUT I am thinking that intrinsic value is the premium one places over the market value of a watc... 

2 ways to look at this

 
 By: 41northpole : October 10th, 2011-14:30
There is the monetary value, basically what someone will pay for it, be it new or second hand. The other value is that vested in it by its owner, be it sentimental or such My 2p Cheers Tim

Intrinsic value applies to many things

 
 By: ling5hk : October 10th, 2011-17:45
Price that you paid (you have doubt whether you paid the right price)=price you perceived subjectively as right price + intrinsic value (this can be anything in any form which can only be subjectively justified by yourself). At the end of the day, you use... 

What people would pay for it if the company lacked a marketing department?

 
 By: mkvc : October 10th, 2011-22:10
It's hard to determine that number, but I think it's a useful thought experiment. Here, I include not only the standard in-house marketing department for new products: I include brands' efforts to support their products in the auction and secondary market... 

I can read but cannot respond to PM's...so to those who have PM'd me

 
 By: ThomasM : October 11th, 2011-05:51
Hi, 1. Sorry about my poor choice of words 2. thank you for your concerns Cheers, TM

I appreciate all PM's and emails about the misunderstanding.

 
 By: ThomasM : October 11th, 2011-06:25
for those of you who pointed out my poor choice of words and how easily they were misunderstood, thank you, I appreciate the concern, and most especially I appreciate the benefit of the doubt from those of you who do know me and know that I am not one to ... 

I like that - looking solely at the watch [nt]

 
 By: amerix : October 11th, 2011-09:37
No message body This message has been edited by amerix on 2011-10-11 09:38:45

"intrinsic" does it really mean the lowest price I have to take?

 
 By: cazalea : October 11th, 2011-21:19
or could it be that, as Thomas said, there is an arbitrage situation in play here? When I was in the car value / price guide business, we would say a 2000 Subaru WRX was worth $$ in California, but $$$ in upstate New York. NY has bad weather, snow storms,... 

There is so many $$$€€€¥¥¥£££ that my eyes go %%%{{{###***~~~

 
 By: Hororgasm : October 12th, 2011-11:02
But very sound logic. Best, Horo

For me the intrinsic value of the watch

 
 By: Massi : October 12th, 2011-20:08
is its production cost, factored in the part of R&D and all machines and whatever you want to add that contribute to its production, but not the costs associated to its marketing. My willingness to pay is my subjective value for that watch.

The Italian Stallion arrives!

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 13th, 2011-07:10

LOL!

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 13th, 2011-07:14
What fancy terms we assign to simple notions Like, its not an apple we eat, but a creation of god born out of fertile soil, nurtured with the tears of heaven and the light of the universe till its becomes a vivid shade of mercury we call red... It's a dam... 

everyone on this thread or not on this thread should cheer up!!

 
 By: KC74 : October 13th, 2011-03:08
..intrinsic value is defined differently by everyone. I personally seriously dont want to spend too much time thinking about at what level of intrinsic value each of my watches achieve, that is some bollock story that i tell myself and comfort myself, LOL... 

Pardon my ignorance as I did not clearly..

 
 By: KC74 : October 13th, 2011-08:27
..understood your ramblings, arthur especially when you are still recovering from being horo fatigue..

A vintage perspective

 
 By: Ubik : October 13th, 2011-06:38
I hesitate to add another thought here, so much has been covered and many very lucid points made. My area of interest is in vintage watches and so my comments can only be about those, but maybe I can add some extra concepts to the mix. First, I haven't co... 

Thanks for this Ubik. Very insightful.

 
 By: ArthurSG : October 13th, 2011-07:01
It also touches on another thread I started on wanting to learn more about vintages so double benefot for me. Thanks.

The intrinsic value was always there ...

 
 By: AndrewD : October 14th, 2011-20:19
Thanks Ubik, Great addition to the discussion. The intrinsic value in the JLC military watch was always there, it just wasn't recognized widely. As more information becomes available and more people are interested in the watches the monetary value increas...